Climate-Sensitive Vector Dynamics
Modelling Workshop

September 17-19, 2025 - Nicosia, Cyprus

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Please note that the program is alive and may evolve to adapt to our needs and wishes.

The Modelling Training Sessions 1-3 are aimed at participants with at least a working knowledge of R, focusing on practical skills such as formulating models, linking them to environmental data, and applying tips and techniques for real-world scenarios. For instance, a PhD student or postdoctoral researcher can explore how to use a model to predict vector dynamics or disease risk in their region, or adapt it to include new environmental factors or represent different species. To streamline setup, we have prepared a GitHub repository and published a corresponding Docker image on Docker Hub, which runs a JupyterLab server accessible externally via any web browser.

Day 1: 17th September 2025

Morning

SessionActivity
8:30 - 9:00Welcome and registration
9:00 - 11:00Training session part 1
Observational datasets and environmental covariates
TimeTitleSpeaker
9:00An introduction to the Copernicus Data Store for disease modeling applicationsCyril Caminade
10:00Fitting thermal performance curves with BayesTPC R packagePaul Huxley
11:00 - 11:30Coffee Break
11:30 - 13:30Training session part 2
Advanced modelling session 1
TimeTitleSpeaker
11:30Deterministic and ODE Models (ArboCarto)Pachka Hammami
12:30Physics-Informed Neural Networks and ODEs in vector population dynamics modellingMina Petrić
13:30 - 14:30Lunch break

Afternoon

SessionActivity
14:30 - 18:00Training session part 3
Advanced modelling session 2
TimeTitleSpeaker
14:30Stochastic models: dynamAedesDaniele Da Re
15:30Coffee Break
15:45Structured population models: sPop and PopJSONKamil Erguler
16:45Coffee Break
17:00Phenotypic plasticity and DDE modelsDominic Brass

19:30 Social Aperò (Downtown, XXXX)

Day 2: 18th September 2025

Morning

SessionActivity
8:30 - 9:00Welcome and registration
9:00 - 9:15Welcome address
Marios Violaris, Ministry of Health, Cyprus
9:15 - 9:45Summary of the previous workshop on Aedes albopictus
TimeTitleSpeaker
9:15Preliminary results on Aedes albopictus dynamics in Italy and beyondKamil Erguler
9:30Modeling the risk posed by Aedes mosquitoes in Europe: Identifying research needs from public health stakeholders and field entomologistsDaniele Da Re
9:45 - 11:00Modelling Aedes aegypti
TimeTitleSpeaker
9:45Keynote address by Cyril Caminade
The risk posed by Aedes aegypti in Cyprus and the wider Mediteranean region
10:15Aedes aegypti life history traits variabilityPaul Huxley
10:30Summary of open access observational vector presence and abundance datasetsWilliam Wint (online)
10:45Epidemiological data harmonisation: WHO experienceChloe Morgan Rice
11:00 - 11:15Coffee Break
11:15 - 12:15Training data session
Surveillance data (data on Aedes aegypti in the EMME region and beyond)
TimeTitleSpeaker
11:15CyprusTBA
11:30TürkiyeMustafa Akıner
11:45Aedes aegypti in Egypt, a newly re-emerged and established arboviral vector: History, current status and plan for risk management and controlEmad Khater
12:00MadeiraHugo Costa Osório (online)
12:15 - 13:30Lunch

Afternoon

SessionActivity
13:30 - 15:45Models session
TimeTitleSpeaker
13:30Innovative modelling tools for strengthening global health resilienceMartín Lotto Batista
13:50The work of Joacim Rocklow's teamJulian Heidecke
14:10Spatio-temporal validation of two mechanistic models of Aedes aegypti population dynamics in ten Argentine localitiesVeronica Andreo (online)
14:30Coffee Break
14:45Results of the Aedes aegypti modelling exercise (all our models in a unique presentation)Kamil and Daniele
15:05UKEHC's model of Aedes aegypti (delayed differential equations)Benedict Fellows
15:25PesTwin, the biology-informed Digital-Twin transforming Integrated Pest ManagementAndrea De Antoni
15:45 - 16:00Coffee Break
16:00 - 17:30Discussion session
TimeActivity
16:00Group discussions
16:45First general discussion

20:30 Social Dinner (Downtown, XXXX)

Day 3: 19th September 2025

Morning

SessionActivity
9:00 - 9:30Embedding Policy in your Research Plans to Influence Change in Climate and Health Practice - Avriel Diaz
9:30 - 10:30
  • Summary of the day before to guide the discussion (20 min)
  • First group activity of the day (40-60 min): What next in terms of modelling? What have you found interesting that answers the questions you had when you came here?
    • Discussion: policy relevance of the models
    • What's next? How can we move forward?
10:30 - 11:00Coffee Break
11:00 - 12:45
  • Plenary discussion
    • Summary of the previous group activity
    • 1 team leader for each group presents
  • A joint paper summarising the outcome of the conference and the model comparisons
12:45 - 13:00Concluding remarks & questionnaire
13:00 - 14:00Lunch

Afternoon

SessionActivity
14:00 - 18:00Training session part 4
Early Warning System Dashboards
TimeTitleSpeaker
14:00GHRtoolsMartín Lotto Batista
15:00VEClimKamil Erguler
16:00MOODCedric Marsboom
17:00Additional tools (?)TBA